The Hawks last year won 26 games. When a team performs this badly it generally indicates that much of its roster is filled with below average performers. And when we look at the Hawks in 2005-06 — which you can see HERE — we see that this is basically true.
An average player will produce 0.100 wins per 48 minutes played. Of the fifteen players who took the floor last year for Atlanta, only four players finished with an above average mark per 48 minutes played. These players included Anthony Grundy – who only played 108 minutes – and Tony Delk – who only played seven minutes for the Hawks before finishing the season in Detroit. So of the players who actually played significant minutes for the Hawks, only Josh Childress and Joe Johnson were above average performers last year.
The good news is that there is reason to think Marvin Williams – the first round pick in 2005 — and Shelden Williams – the first round pick in 2006 — could be above average performers in 2005-06. And point guard Speedy Claxton has generally been an average point guard in his career – which means he is better than the below average collection manning the point guard position for the Hawks last season.
Still, there is not much productivity in Atlanta. So although it is possible Atlanta could improve some, it does not look like the Hawks as a team will post an above average performance in 2006-07.
– DJ
Wages of Wins Journal 
Eugene
August 23, 2006
David, as I’ve understood, your formula uses coefficients for each statstical index. These cefficients are calculated based on real NBA statistics. As far as I understand, if I want to apply your system to European basketball, I need to calculate new coefficients for given national championship. Am I right? And one more question. How I can use your formula for calculation “Wins Produced” for a team for example on World Championship?
P.S. Sorry for possible mistakes. English isn’t my native language.
Tom Mandel
August 24, 2006
DJ – The final line of this post may have been intended as a link to a table, yes? But, there’s no link.
Tom Mandel
August 24, 2006
(Yes, there is a link – your usual HERE link – at the top of the post. I see that…)