Erich Doerr – who has contributed a number of articles to The Wages of Wins Journal on college basketball and the NBA Draft – has written the following extensive article for Draft Express.
2008 Win Scores NBA Draft Preview
As he notes in the article, the Draft Express article is an expansion on a study he posted in this forum a few weeks ago. Although there are many additions to see, one of the most significant is a discussion of the international prospects available in the draft.
Overall, I think Erich has captured just about all that Win Score can say about the NBA Draft. I encourage everyone to print out a copy and have it handy as they watch the draft next week. And as the commentators gush over O.J. Mayo, Eric Gordon, Brook Lopez, etc… ask the following question: If these players are going to be so good in the NBA, why were they not better players in college (where the competition isn’t nearly as good)?
– DJ
Here are links to all the articles Erich has written for The Wages of Wins Journal
2007 NBA Draft Preview – One Year Later
Sweet Sixteen – An NCAA Tournament Update
An Instant Analysis of the NCAA Tournament
An Early Look at the 2008 NBA Draft
Vince Gagliano
June 21, 2008
Here’s an interesting idea for next year: Measure the standard deviation of draft prospects.
Being productive is good, but if someone is fantastic in one game and average the next, it can hurt the team’s overall productivity.
Izzy
June 21, 2008
This is awesome statistical analysis. It is great to see a site that is backing the arguments up with hard data. We are doing a series on the NBA draft and will be using this site to help evaluate the teams and players. The site is dishingdimes.blogspot.com
Rex
June 22, 2008
Players who have to change positions or roles will be harder to predict accurately than those who can largely stay the same.
Erich
June 25, 2008
TJ Ford, Nesterovic, & a draft pick for Jermaine O’Neal?
Welcome to the playoffs, Indiana…
I look forward to Dave’s full analysis