We have another member of The Wages of Wins Network. Mosi Platt has started “Miami Heat Index”, a blog that will examine the Miami Heat from the Wins Produced perspective. Mosi’s blog started yesterday, and he already has two columns posted:
The Bottom Three – For Love or Productivity?
The Three Kings and the Five Rings
With Mosi’s blog, we now have seven members in the network.
Of these seven, the following four are essentially devoted to a specific team (although Ty and Robbie often offer stories on subjects that are not specifically about their favorite teams):
Miami Heat: Miami Heat Index (Mosi Platt)
Milwaukee Bucks: Courtside Analyst (Ty Willihnganz)
New York Knicks: NYK Mistakes (Andrew Shookhoff)
Washington Wizards: Roblog (Robbie O’Malley)
And we have three blogs that are not team specific.
Arturo Silly Little Stats (Arturo Galletti)
The NBA Anti-Expert (Shawn Ryan)
Nerd Numbers the Blog (Andres Alvarez)
With 30 NBA teams, it looks like we have 26 teams that still need a blog. So if you ever thought about starting a blog – and you really like Wins Produced (and who wouldn’t?) – now is a good time to get started.
By the way, if you didn’t want to start a blog – but still wanted to comment on your favorite team – we still need team reviews for 15 teams. The NBA Analysis page has links to thirteen reviews from the 2009-10 season. And the reviews for Portland and Detroit should appear by Monday. The following teams, though, still need to be reviewed: Atlanta, Charlotte, Chicago, Cleveland, Dallas, Houston, LA Clippers, LA Lakers, Miami, New Jersey, New Orleans, New York, Orlando, San Antonio, and Utah. So if you are interested, please send along a review.
– DJ
P.S. By the way, if you already wrote a review for one of these teams that I claim we are missing – and I posted this review – please let me know. When I created the NBA Analysis page I left off reviews by Sam Cohen and Mike Madden. This omission wasn’t a statement about the quality of these reviews. It was a clearly a statement about my ability to keep track of what is going on in this forum.
Alvy
July 30, 2010
D. Berri,
I figured I could start a blog on the LA Lakers, but first I need to understand how to properly calculate WP/48. The biggest problem I have is, which weights do I use? For instance, as illustrated on your Stumbling on Wins site, do I follow the weights in Table 12? Scratch that, I’m just going to follow the steps on pg. 141 from the book itself. Now, I won’t commit that I will write about the LA Lakers, but I have been meaning to discuss Matt Barnes’ recent comments on player salary and player value, and if I am successful, I’d hope to share it with everyone.
arturogalletti
July 30, 2010
Alvy,
I can get help you set up with data if you need it. I would love to read your blog and heckle you needlessly :-)
arturogalletti
July 30, 2010
By the way,
The first posts from Mosi is very good.
Alvy
July 30, 2010
Arturo,
Thanks for the offer, I’ll head over your blog for particular questions retaining the formula.
robbieomalley
July 31, 2010
New blog entry – click name or
http://robbieomalley.wordpress.com/2010/07/31/new-blog-come-visit/
Marisole
July 31, 2010
I wish someone would blog on the performance of these free agents with their new teams – to see if they truly were worth those big bucks! I’ll be nobody will be dogging (I mean blogging) them individually to see what they be doin’, yo!
Darlene
July 31, 2010
Rob OMalley, thanks for posting your blog address. Will check it out!
Dre
July 31, 2010
DJ,
I do intend to (and have) focus on the Nuggets. Obviously, I also to plan to talk about other stats related NBA stuff as well.
Mosi,
Welcome to the club! Your google docs have been first rate, so I can’t wait for more. Your first articles are awesome.
Marisole,
Not going to speak for any blogs but I am willing to bet you’ll have plenty of content for that, especially with a Mosi joining the mix.
Nick Reisch
July 31, 2010
I’m thinking of starting a Rockets blog emphasizing Wins Produced.
I’m attempting to do the Rockets calculations myself so that I know how and because there are some weird results from Andres’ Algorithm (e.g. Battier should not be a PF and Hayes is not split between SF and SG).
I have gotten too many wins for the Rockets using the stuff I found on Wages of Wins website and wanted to make sure it wasn’t something I was doing wrong.
Can somebody help?
I used the estimated WP48 formula of 0.104 + 1.621*PAWSmin that I found on the website.
I also used the AVE PAWSmin by position data from the website of
C= .225
PF = .215
SF = .152
SG = .128
PG = .132
I know that is using several years of data through approximately 2005. Also, I thought I saw a page where the numbers were collapsed into C, F, G, but I don’t know whether that is older or more recent. Anybody have any input as to the best figures for me to use for 2009-10?
I don’t have any easy way to determine minutes for different positions, so I’ve just been assigning one position to each. Anybody have a way to determine actual minutes at each position?
Thanks
robbieomalley
July 31, 2010
Nick,
Goto
http://www.permanent-sketch.com/WinsProduced/Main.html#/Season
then hit rockets.
dberri
July 31, 2010
Nick,
You can also just send me an e-mail (berri@suu.edu). I can walk you through what you need to do. If you are going to do analysis like you see on the other blogs, you need to use the actual WP numbers. But you are correct, you may want to make your own position adjustments. And those are fairly easy to do.
Shawn Ryan
July 31, 2010
-Nick Reisch
I’ve adjusted redone the position adjustments for the Rockets for this last season. I can send along my .xls to you so that you can plug in the numbers for your older seasons if you like. I got my position allocations from 82games.com, and they add up correctly (there’s just a little bit of error because due to precision of 82games’ numbers). If your interested, you can contact my secondary email address thewaterissoyellow13 [at] yahoo [dot] com (Don’t mind the name, I created it when I was 11 haha).
ilikeflowers
July 31, 2010
Here’s something from Henry Abbott:
As a case in point we could look at the Celtics in recent years. Old statistics had no way of knowing they’d be the most cohesive and tenacious defensive unit in years, which is why just about nobody predicted, as Kevin Garnett’s trade to Boston was announced three years ago, that the Celtics were about to win 72 percent of their regular season games over three seasons, and an amazing eight of their next 10 playoff series.
A lot of that team’s magic was in things we have not normally measured. But there were two groups of people who were not as surprised: A subset of real-deal basketball experts who understood the merits of what the Celtics were doing, and proponents of adjusted plus/minus.
Hmmm, HA knows about wp48 and the prediction was for the Celtics to win the East which is typically done by a team that wins about 70% of their games. Now, I don’t think anyone specifically predicted Boston to win 70% of their games over the next three seasons, but if you think that they would in 2008 then barring injury you’d think that they would certainly win about the same in 2009 and perhaps hold up through 2010 – and as we know KG didn’t but Rondo picked up some of the slack (he’s still only 24, he should be even better next season!). It’s an interesting oversight. Joe-Tom-Barbie The Troll should be pleased at the lack of respect.
ilikeflowers
July 31, 2010
A more specific link
Tommy_Grand
July 31, 2010
I’d like to write something about the 2006 playoffs. Do you have info posted for that season?
dberri
July 31, 2010
The numbers from Andres Alvarez go back to 2005-06 (and include the regular season and playoffs).
nerdnumbers
July 31, 2010
DJ,
I do intend to focus and write on the Nuggets. I also plan to do other topics too as I am trying to keep a 2 post a week schedule.
Mosi,
Awesome stuff so far! I’ve loved your spreadsheets so it’s great to see you hopping on the network.
Marisole,
I won’t speak or commit for any of the bloggers but I sure (especially with a Miami blog now) there will tons of material on your question next season.