The following is a guest post from Imhotep Royster. Imhotep graduated from Harvard in 2008 with a degree in Economics. He is currently a graduate student at American University, studying Political Communication in order to learn how to make income inequality a meaningful political issue. Between college and grad school, he worked briefly first for the National Basketball Association and then as a proprietary trader. Follow him on twitter at @iaroyster
Through their respective CBA proposals, both the NFL and NBA seek to remake their league economics in the image of the general American economy at large.
“This is about profitability. We’re going to make it profitable.”
— Commissioner David Stern, in a podcast with ESPN.com on Friday, August 12, while detailing a claim that the players’ union has said in private meetings with the league that teams should only break even financially in a new collective bargaining agreement.
This quote leaves open the question about how league owners are going to achieve their goal of profitability. At root, their answer can similarly be summed up in one word: redistribution. While it is true of both the NBA and NFL, the NBA specifically seeks to facilitate the upwards redistribution of income by literally taking money out of the players pockets in order to pad their own.
Through the CBA, the NBA is trying to emulate general American business. If the owner’s proposal was given a title, “Cut, Cap and Profit” would be a perfect fit. To run and grow a modern day American business means that an organization disconnects the link between worker pay and worker productivity, allowing management to capture all gains. The NBA, in their effort to roll back and cap total player salaries at $2B, is seeking to do exactly that. Decoupling player wages and total league revenues parallels the existing gap in worker pay and worker productivity in the economy at large.1
Since we are discussing professional athletes, disconnecting worker pay and worker productivity is applied differently. Here, the owner’s goal is to disconnect player pay from increases in demand, “demand” being defined as fan interest in the game. Fan interest in the game of basketball is the only thing that gives value to player talent.
With more fan interest, the Marginal Revenue Product of players increases, not because players improve as basketball players, but because additional fans increase marginal revenue, resulting in an increase in demand for the players labor.2 Ordinarily, when demand rises, so do wages. However, in an attempt to emulate a “legitimate American business,” owners seek to disconnect this link, causing increased demand not to result in increased wages, but only increased profits, captured entirely by owners.
Consider these facts comparing wage growth in the American economy at large and the owner’s efforts to remake the NBA economy in this image. Since 1980, the economy has grown substantially, but only the fraction at the top has benefited. Average income went from $30,941 in 1980 to $31,244 in 2008. In nearly 30 years, the average income of American workers has grown just $303.3 Though wages have stagnated, the productivity of the American worker continued to grow,4 resulting in record profits for America’s corporations and CEO’s. In line with flattened wages amidst exploding productivity, the ratio of CEO to average worker pay has gone from roughly 44:1 in 1980 to 411:1 in 2005,5 before the crash of 2008. The idea that every owner deserves at least $10M in profit per season,6 regardless of the stupidity of their decision making, rivals the ratio of CEO pay to average worker pay.
While the income of the average American has remained effectively repressed, NBA players have participated in the growth of the game of basketball. In 1985, the average NBA salary was $330,000. By 1995, the average NBA salary was $1.8M and by 2007, average salary reached $5.2M.7 In this context, the NBA’s efforts to hold total player salaries at $2B, an average of $5M per player with no room for growth for at least the next eight years,8 is nothing other than the NBA attempting to adopt the established practices of America’s corporations.
Consider these findings from a recent study out of Northeastern University, which examines the beneficiaries of recent growth in the economy.9 Over the six quarter period between the second quarter of 2009 and the fourth quarter of 2010, “corporate profits captured 88% of the growth in real national income while aggregate wages and salaries accounted for only slightly more than 1% of the growth in real national income.”1011 As the NBA continues to grow over the next decade, the league proposes that owners receive 100% of future revenue growth, while players receive 0%, unless certain growth targets are realized. And, the exclusion of players from the future growth of the league comes after they have had their salaries reduced by 8% in year one of the owners proposed CBA.
Let us acknowledge that even if the owners are able to push through a CBA that satisfies their every desire, NBA athletes will likely maintain their standing among “the best-paid union members in the world.”12 However, after 30 years of rising wages in the NBA, it seems that it is finally time for NBA athletes to join the rest of working America, as employees in a profession where their salaries will remain flat regardless of the economic value generated by their labor.
When David Stern and Adam Silver discussed the final NBPA proposal just prior to the lockout on July 1, their voices dripped in disgust as they noted that average player salaries would grow to $7M at the end of the NBPA’s six year proposal. As Stern noted on Bill Simmons podcast on August 12: “At some point, when the proposal is, in light of today’s economics, we want to go in six years from a five-million dollar average to a seven million dollar average salary, it really makes no sense. None. It doesn’t even begin to respond to the issues.” The NBPA’s proposal, though a $500M giveback, kept player salaries as a percentage of league revenues and assumed the continued growth of the NBA. As Stern says himself, “in light of today’s economics,” maintaining any sort of relationship between pay and productivity,13 or between player wages and total league revenues, is absurd from the NBA’s point of view. In today’s economy, worker wages do not rise under any circumstances.1415
How did we get to this point, just 12 years after basketball owners secured more control over player costs than in any other sport and enjoyed what was considered “a landmark victory” coming out of the 1999 NBA lockout?16 How is it that yet again, a “fundamental economic restructuring” is necessary coming off a historic season, where total league revenue exceeded $4 Billion for the first time, where the NBA delivered record television audiences for its network partners, experienced record merchandise sales and maintained attendance figures exceeded 90% of capacity?
Although NBA ownership claims that 22 out of 30 teams are losing money in a system that includes one tenth of the revenue sharing of Major League Baseball, this lockout is based not on any relevant economic realities, but on political realities. In today’s America, every political and economic dispute is resolved in favor of the moneyed few. From the much ballyhooed deficit reduction deal that was composed 100% of cuts to services and government agencies while asking nothing of our wealthiest citizens and corporations, to the anti-union and anti-worker legislation that has passed in states like Wisconsin, Ohio and Michigan, and at a time when income inequality in America is at its highest levels in history,17, 18 the United States is a country where in business and in politics, the very rich invariably get their way. This idea has finally reached the NBA, where the extremely wealthy individuals that populate NBA ownership have decided to use their muscle to change their financial relationship with players, in the image of the general American economy. It seems truer now than ever, as author William Rhoden notes in “Forty Million Dollar Slaves,” that “for all the wealth [that players] generate for the league in their comet-quick careers, [players] share will always be circumscribed — through bullying or forcible lockouts if necessary — by the dictates of the owners rather than by the widely praised American free-market system.”
Foot Notes
- 1 Economic Policy Institute, State of Working America
- 2 Michael Leeds, The Economics of Sports, Vol. 3, Boston, MA: Pearson Education, 2008. p.258
- 3 Moyers, Bill (October 29, 2010). “Welcome to the Plutocracy!” Truthout.org. Retrieved November 3, 2010.
- 4 Bureau of Labor Statistics. “The compensation-productivity gap.” Bls.gov. February 24, 2011
- 5 Lorsch, Jay and Rakesh Khurana. “The Pay Problem: Time for a New Paradigm for Executive Compensation.” Harvard Magazine. May-June 2010
- 6 Wojnarowski, Adrian (March 21, 2011). “NBA players’ union leader takes bold stand”. Yahoo Sports.
- 7Ford, Chad (July 11, 2006). “NBA – Salary cap for 2006–07 season set at $53.135 million”. ESPN.com. Retrieved March 22, 2007.
- 8 Berger, Ken (September 23, 2011). “Owners’ revised proposal means there’s hope for full season” CBS Sports
- 9 Wolverson, Roya (July 5, 2011). “Hello Corporate Profits, Goodbye Worker Pay.” Time.com
- 10 Savett, Sean (June 30, 2011). “Since 2009. 88 Percent Of Income Growth Went To Corporate Profits, June One Percent Went To Wages.” Thinkprogress.org
- 11 Greenhouse, Steven (June 30, 2011). “The Wageless, Profitable Recovery”. New York Times.
- 12 Lee, Michael (February 20, 2011). “NBA Commissioner David Stern says goal of owners is not to lock out the players.” Washington Post.
- 13 Economic Policy Institute, State of Working America
- 14 Norris, Floyd (August 5, 2011). “Workers’ Wages Chasing Corporate Profits.” New York Times
- 15 Frum, David (June 12, 2011). “Incredible Shrinking Workers’ Income.” Frum Forum
- 16 Taylor, Phil (January 18, 1999). “To The Victor Belongs The Spoils”. Sports Illustrated. Retrieved November 9, 1999.
- 17 Saez, Emmanuel (August 5, 2009) “Striking it Richer: The Evolution of Top Incomes in the United States.” Stanford Center for the Study of Poverty and Inequality, Winter 2008, 6-7.
- 18Norton, Michael & Dan Ariely, (2011) “Building a Better America – One Wealth Quintile at a Time.” Perspectives on Psychological Science, 6, 9-12.
- 19 William C. Rhoden, Forty Million Dollar Slaves, New York: Crown Publishers, 2006. p.244
Surfin The F
October 4, 2011
Wow, really insightful. Havent seen ideas like this anywhere else.
Devin Dignam
October 4, 2011
This is great stuff, Imhotep!
Patrick Minton (@nbageek)
October 4, 2011
Great stuff. However, one of my issues with wage growth is that I am not sure if your model includes the rising cost of health care, which many employers pay for. One of the things that continue to outrage me is that the average American thinks that his/her company “pays for” the health care, when in reality that cost is passed on to the worker (in the form of lower wages) to the tune of about, oh, ONE HUNDRED PERCENT.
All of which is to say that I don’t disagree with your premise (worker wages have not risen in parallel with productivity), I *do* think that wages have risen more than that graph illustrates, it’s just that all those wage gains are going straight to your health insurer’s pockets.
benamery21
October 4, 2011
Minton: The blue line includes the employer cost of benefits, and actually overstates compensation, since it is adjusted using a variant of the CPI, the CPI basket of goods does not include employer paid healthcare, and healthcare inflation has typically outpaced general inflation.
benamery21
October 4, 2011
More subtly, I believe the shift in the form of retirement benefits typically provided by employers also causes the compensation here to be overstated. Since BLS counts compensation when the employer incurs the cost — a broad shift from defined benefit to defined contribution means that (lagging) employer contributions to old defined benefit plans for existing retirees and grandfathered employees are being counted at the same time as contributions to current workers’ defined contribution plans.
benamery21
October 4, 2011
You know, I don’t have a problem with capping NBA salaries, I would just like to see the money returned to fans/taxpayers rather than owners. If the owners open their books, i’d be happy to bring every one of them to break-even (certain non-essential expenses may be disallowed, of course).
dsal1951
October 5, 2011
Hahah I think you forgot “Workers of the World Unite” at the end. This is nothing more than a elementary application of Marx’s Labor Theory of Application to basketball. My criticisms of this article are the same that I have of the theory, and I think any reputable economics publication can do a better job than I can at pointing out the many flaws in it.
As for your application to basketball, I think you would do well to pay more attention to your paragraph on the growth of NBA salaries over time. If you would have included the average NBA salaries from the 50’s, 60’s, and 70’s, it would have been clear that player salaries are not only increasing, but increasing at a faster rate! This seems to be in pretty stark contrast to your statement that “worker wages do not rise under any circumstances.” You also didn’t bother to include any information on basketball’s stagnant popularity during much of the 60s or 70s and the explosion that it has seen in the past two decades. Now I know that it has become blasphemy on this site to say anything positive about the owners, but do you really think that all of the growth that the NBA has seen is because Lebron, Kobe, and Shaq are that much better than Russell, Robertson, and Wilt? Finally, you’re an idiot for citing Rhoden’s “40 million dollar slave” comment. It is comments like those that are the reason that the “working class Americans” that you champion, mistrust academics like you. I don’t think much of an explanation is needed to explain how stupid and tactless it is to compare any NBA players to slaves.
dberri
October 5, 2011
dsal1951,
My sense is your knowledge of Marxist thought is limited. Although Marx did discuss how workers and owners of capital divide the returns of business, just because someone looks at this issue that doesn’t make them a Marxist (of course — paraphrasing Seinfeld — not that there is anything wrong with that).
Tep’s argument can seen in a number of places in mainstream economics today. It is true that corporate profits have increased while wages have stagnated. It is also true that the U.S. economy has become increasingly unequal. Perhaps you should read the post again and see if you can find some evidence that contradicts his point.
Phil Birnbaum
October 5, 2011
Dr. Berri,
You say that mainstream economics agrees with this post that the gap between production worker pay and productivity is due to greedy CEOs unfairly repressing the pay of workers. Does mainstream economics also explain how such long-term repression is possible in a competitive market for labor?
dberri
October 5, 2011
Phil,
So now your a labor economist? Is there any subject where you don’t think you have an informed opinion? I thought mangling sports stats was the end of your domain. Now we see you commenting on the growing inequality in society.
Phil Birnbaum
October 5, 2011
I am not a labor economist. My understanding of what mainstream economics believes is that inefficient behavior (like paying uncompetitive wages to blacks in favor of whites, or production workers in favor of management) cannot persist in a competitive market. If that isn’t right, I’m willing to be corrected.
For now, I offer no comment on the growing inequality in society. :)
Robert Schermeister
October 5, 2011
Brilliant Article. It really ties in many of the things that are happening in America currently. Where owners are taking all of the new growth in profit. Players dont get paid more because they are better then older players but get paid more because of the realization of how much people will pay for the games.
Robert Schermeister
October 5, 2011
The NBA market is not fully competative, the teams/owners all work together. It is more like a cartel.
rebellol
October 20, 2011
This is the best thing I’ve read on the lockout, both analytically and rhetorically. There are lots of really silly ideas out there about economic “reality” and the players. This sets everyone straight.
I must say that as an actual Marxian economist, I find dsal1951’s comment amusing. Apparently, he read in a book that there is a contradiction somewhere in Marx’s work. Therefore anything that is marginally pro-labor is logically flawed. Good argument!
If anything, dsal’s anti-Marxism is pretty Marxist. Shaq making more money than Bill Russell? How could Shaq be underpaid then? It is really simple and straightforward. If you study enough econ to bump into the marxian transformation problem, you should know this. Theoretically, mainstream econ says wages should equal the value of the marginal product of labor. Shaq doesn’t get paid to play basketball. He gets paid for the value of his playing basketball, which depends on his ability AND people’s willingness to pay to watch him play (and other associated revenue sources). Basketball players today might not be better basketball players, but they are incredibly more valuable in simple mainstream econ terms. If dsal thinks the only way to discuss workers making less than their contribution, or the value star players have to owners, is through marxian economics, I welcome him!