Week Two QB Score and RB Score Rankings

Posted on September 18, 2007 by

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Week Two QB Score Rankings

Overall QB Score Rankings

The top story in Week Two – other than the Detroit Lions winning and moving into a tie for first place – is Brett Favre.  Favre and the Packers won this past weekend, an achievement that resulted in Favre taking the record for career wins by a quarterback.  There is much to say about this record, and so I am going to hold off until this weekend before I offer my comments on Favre’s latest achievement.

What other stories can we tell about Week Two?

The big story (after Favre) is that quarterbacks, on average, are above average.  The average quarterback from 1994 to 2006 posted a QB Rating of 80.0 and a QB Score per player of 1.85.  Through Week Two these averages are at 84.4 and 2.13 respectively. When we look at the components of these measures we see improvement with respect to completion percentage (average has risen from 59% to 62%) and yards per passing attempt (average has risen from 6.9 to 7.1).  And two issues that only impact QB Score – rushing yards per attempt and fumbles lost – are also improved. 

These trends in the data are not driven by the majority of quarterbacks playing well.  Basically a few signal callers did extremely well the first two weeks of the season. From 1994 to 2006 only three quarterbacks – of the 416 who qualified for the NFL’s Quarterback Rating rankings — finished the season with a QB Score per play in excess of 4.0.  So far five quarterbacks – Jeff Garcia, Tony Romo, Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, and Matt Schaub – have eclipsed this mark.  Seven other quarterbacks are above the 3.0 mark, a level only achieved by 39 quarterbacks (or less than 10% of all quarterbacks) since 1994.

It seems unlikely that all these quarterbacks can keep playing this well.  So fans of the surprises might expect things to look different in the weeks ahead.

Week Two RB Score Rankings

Overall RB Score Rankings

The big story for the running backs is that so many backs who historically were well above average are off to very bad starts. At the bottom of the rankings we see Steven Jackson, LaDainian Tomlison, and Deuce McAllister.  Meanwhile, at the top we see LaMont Jordan, Travis Henry, Derrick Ward, Chris Brown, and a re-vitalized Jamal Lewis (how bad is the Bengals defense that they made Derek Anderson and Jamal Lewis look great in the same week?).

As a rule, the numbers posted by football players tend to be very inconsistent.  Still, running backs tend to be a bit more consistent than quarterbacks.  This year, though, we are seeing a fair number of surprises among the running backs.  And people wonder why I don’t play fantasy football?

– DJ

For more information please read A New QB Score

Posted in: Football Stories